2026-06-10 15:07 UTC
Market snapshot
Vol 178 calls·Liq 128 XP·Ends Jan 1 UTC
Answer options
BinaryWhy it matters
A formal ceasefire would mark the first negotiated pause in hostilities since 2022 and reshape European security, aid flows, and reconstruction planning.
Resolution criteria
Resolves YES if Russia and Ukraine (or their recognized governments) announce or sign a formal ceasefire agreement halting active combat by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM US Eastern, confirmed by both sides or the UN. Informal pauses or local truces without a formal pact resolve NO.
https://www.un.org/Timing
expiresAt: 2027-01-01T04:59:59.000Z
votingClosesAt: 2026-12-31T04:59:59.000Z
votingLockMinutesBeforeDue: = 1440 minutes
eventStart: 2026-12-31T05:59:59.000Z
Expires 2027-01-01 04:59 UTC
Metadata
53%
0.0%
Will the war in Ukraine have a formal ceasefire by the end of 2026?
Vol 178 calls·Liq 128 XP·Ends Jan 1 UTC
Will the war in Ukraine have a formal ceasefire by the end of 2026?
Vol 178 calls·Liq 128 XP·Ends Jan 1 UTC
53%
0.0%
