2026-06-13 17:22 UTC
Market snapshot
Vol 91 calls·Liq 78 XP·Ends Dec 31 UTC
Answer options
BinaryWhy it matters
Quase metade do planeta depende dessas plataformas; uma queda coordenada de horas expõe o risco sistêmico da infraestrutura digital.
Resolution criteria
Resolves YES if in 2026 a cyber incident (not scheduled maintenance) leaves at least four major social platforms (100M+ global users; e.g. Facebook, Instagram, X, TikTok, YouTube, WhatsApp, LinkedIn, Snapchat) largely unusable worldwide at the same time for strictly more than 6 consecutive hours. Otherwise NO. Official status pages and reputable tech/news sources are authoritative.
Timing
expiresAt: 2026-12-31T23:59:59.000Z
votingClosesAt: 2026-12-30T23:59:59.000Z
votingLockMinutesBeforeDue: = 1440 minutes
eventStart: 2026-12-31T00:59:59.000Z
Expires 2026-12-31 23:59 UTC
Metadata
32%
0.0%
Will a global cyberattack take down more than three major social networks simultaneously for over six hours in 2026?
Vol 91 calls·Liq 78 XP·Ends Dec 31 UTC
Will a global cyberattack take down more than three major social networks simultaneously for over six hours in 2026?
Vol 91 calls·Liq 78 XP·Ends Dec 31 UTC
32%
0.0%
