2026-06-09 17:21 UTC
Market snapshot
Vol 36 calls·Liq 0 XP·Ends Jul 1 UTC
Answer options
BinaryWhy it matters
Regime stability in Iran affects Middle East security, oil markets, and the trajectory of ongoing regional tensions after months of elevated geopolitical risk.
Resolution criteria
Resolves YES if, by June 30, 2026 11:59 PM US Eastern, the Islamic Republic government loses effective control of Iran (e.g. Supreme Leader removed without succession, sitting government replaced by revolution/coup, or internationally recognized new authority). Otherwise NO.
https://www.polymarket.com/Timing
expiresAt: 2026-07-01T03:59:59.000Z
votingClosesAt: 2026-06-30T03:59:59.000Z
votingLockMinutesBeforeDue: = 1440 minutes
eventStart: 2026-06-30T04:59:59.000Z
Expires 2026-07-01 03:59 UTC
Metadata
21%
▲ +19.0%
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2026?
Vol 36 calls·Liq 0 XP·Ends Jul 1 UTC
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2026?
Vol 36 calls·Liq 0 XP·Ends Jul 1 UTC
21%
▲ +19.0%
