2026-06-09 17:21 UTC
Market snapshot
Vol 227 calls·Liq 256 XP·Ends Jul 1 UTC
Answer options
BinaryWhy it matters
Regime stability in Iran affects Middle East security, oil markets, and the trajectory of ongoing regional tensions after months of elevated geopolitical risk.
Resolution criteria
Resolves YES if, by June 30, 2026 11:59 PM US Eastern, the Islamic Republic government loses effective control of Iran (e.g. Supreme Leader removed without succession, sitting government replaced by revolution/coup, or internationally recognized new authority). Otherwise NO.
https://www.polymarket.com/Timing
expiresAt: 2026-07-01T03:59:59.000Z
votingClosesAt: 2026-06-30T03:59:59.000Z
votingLockMinutesBeforeDue: = 1440 minutes
eventStart: 2026-06-30T04:59:59.000Z
Expires 2026-07-01 03:59 UTC
Metadata
42%
0.0%
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2026?
Vol 227 calls·Liq 256 XP
Voting is closed for this market.
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2026?
Vol 227 calls·Liq 256 XP
Voting is closed for this market.
42%
0.0%
