2026-06-10 15:08 UTC
Market snapshot
Vol 193 calls·Liq 50 XP·Ends Jan 1 UTC
Answer options
BinaryWhy it matters
China's crewed lunar program is racing Artemis for the next national flag on the Moon; a 2028 mission would make China only the second country to send astronauts beyond Earth orbit.
Resolution criteria
Resolves YES if China (CNSA) completes an official crewed lunar mission by December 31, 2028 11:59 PM US Eastern, with astronauts reaching lunar orbit or the lunar surface. Uncrewed landers or plans without a flown crew resolve NO.
https://www.cnsa.gov.cn/Timing
expiresAt: 2029-01-01T04:59:59.000Z
votingClosesAt: 2028-12-31T04:59:59.000Z
votingLockMinutesBeforeDue: = 1440 minutes
eventStart: 2028-12-31T05:59:59.000Z
Expires 2029-01-01 04:59 UTC
Metadata
47%
0.0%
Will China carry out a crewed lunar mission by the end of 2028?
Vol 193 calls·Liq 50 XP·Ends Jan 1 UTC
Will China carry out a crewed lunar mission by the end of 2028?
Vol 193 calls·Liq 50 XP·Ends Jan 1 UTC
47%
0.0%
