2026-06-10 14:37 UTC
Market snapshot
Vol 153 calls·Liq 26 XP·Ends Jan 1 UTC
Answer options
BinaryWhy it matters
Commercial eVTOL launches would mark a milestone in urban air mobility, with several manufacturers racing for FAA certification and first paid routes.
Resolution criteria
Resolves YES if, by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM US Eastern, at least one eVTOL operator runs a commercial air-taxi service with paying passengers on scheduled or on-demand routes (not demo, test, or crew-only flights). Otherwise resolves NO.
https://www.faa.gov/Timing
expiresAt: 2027-01-01T04:59:59.000Z
votingClosesAt: 2026-12-31T04:59:59.000Z
votingLockMinutesBeforeDue: = 1440 minutes
eventStart: 2026-12-31T05:59:59.000Z
Expires 2027-01-01 04:59 UTC
Metadata
44%
0.0%
Will the first commercial eVTOL air-taxi service launch in 2026?
Vol 153 calls·Liq 26 XP·Ends Jan 1 UTC
Will the first commercial eVTOL air-taxi service launch in 2026?
Vol 153 calls·Liq 26 XP·Ends Jan 1 UTC
44%
0.0%
