2026-06-09 17:48 UTC
Market snapshot
Vol 205 calls·Liq 21 XP·Ends Jul 1 UTC
Answer options
Multi (4 options)Why it matters
The AI leaderboard race has swung sharply toward Anthropic ahead of the June benchmark cutoff, with Google and OpenAI trailing in market odds.
Resolution criteria
Resolves to the company whose flagship model ranks #1 on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard (or equivalent widely cited public benchmark) as of June 30, 2026 11:59 PM US Eastern. Other = xAI, DeepSeek, Meta, Mistral, ByteDance, Alibaba, Z.ai, or any other lab.
https://chat.lmsys.org/Timing
expiresAt: 2026-07-01T03:59:59.000Z
votingClosesAt: 2026-06-30T03:59:59.000Z
votingLockMinutesBeforeDue: = 1440 minutes
eventStart: 2026-06-30T04:59:59.000Z
Expires 2026-07-01 03:59 UTC
Metadata
43%Anthropic
23%Google
19%OpenAI
15%Other
Which company has the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Vol 205 calls·Liq 21 XP
Voting is closed for this market.
Which company has the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Vol 205 calls·Liq 21 XP
Voting is closed for this market.
43%Anthropic
23%Google
19%OpenAI
15%Other
