Will Israel's main international airport close to commercial flights for 24h by June 15? (Closes: June 14, 2026, 23:59 UTC)

Market snapshot

• Yes43% now
• No57% now

Why it matters

An airport closure in Israel would indicate a significant escalation of regional tensions, impacting travel and security.

Resolution criteria

The market resolves 'Yes' if Ben Gurion Airport (TLV), Israel's main international airport, officially ceases all commercial passenger flights for a continuous period of 24 hours or more due to security or emergency concerns, by June 15, 2026. Otherwise, 'No'. Source: Official airport authority statements or major international news agencies (e.g., Reuters, AP, BBC).

Timing