2026-06-10 15:11 UTC
Market snapshot
Vol 200 calls·Liq 36 XP·Ends Jan 1 UTC
Answer options
BinaryWhy it matters
Tesla has promised a dedicated robotaxi platform for years; a 2026 commercial launch would test whether FSD can support paid rides at scale outside controlled demos.
Resolution criteria
Resolves YES if Tesla operates a commercial robotaxi service open to paying passengers in at least one public market by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM US Eastern, confirmed by Tesla or credible reporting. Employee-only pilots, invite-only demos, or test fleets without paid rides resolve NO.
https://www.tesla.com/Timing
expiresAt: 2027-01-01T04:59:59.000Z
votingClosesAt: 2026-12-31T04:59:59.000Z
votingLockMinutesBeforeDue: = 1440 minutes
eventStart: 2026-12-31T05:59:59.000Z
Expires 2027-01-01 04:59 UTC
Metadata
42%
0.0%
Will Tesla launch a commercial robotaxi service in 2026?
Vol 200 calls·Liq 36 XP·Ends Jan 1 UTC
Will Tesla launch a commercial robotaxi service in 2026?
Vol 200 calls·Liq 36 XP·Ends Jan 1 UTC
42%
0.0%
