2026-06-09 17:09 UTC
Market snapshot
Vol 193 calls·Liq 21 XP·Resolved 2026-06-13 17:34 UTC
Answer options
Multi (4 options)Resolution
Resolved option
>$1.6T100% confidenceReasoning
Resolved by admin 94 (team default evidence).
Why it matters
SpaceX IPO order books are heavily oversubscribed; the closing valuation will set a benchmark for the next wave of mega-cap tech listings.
Resolution criteria
Resolves to the market-cap bucket at SpaceX first-day IPO closing price (fully diluted shares outstanding × official closing share price). >$1.6T = ≥$1.6T; $1.4-1.6T = ≥$1.4T and <$1.6T; $1.2-1.4T = ≥$1.2T and <$1.4T; $1.0-1.2T = ≥$1T and <$1.2T.
https://www.sec.gov/Timing
expiresAt: 2027-12-31T23:59:59.000Z
votingClosesAt: 2027-12-30T23:59:59.000Z
votingLockMinutesBeforeDue: = 1440 minutes
eventStart: 2027-12-31T00:59:59.000Z
Expires 2027-12-31 23:59 UTC
Metadata
21%$1.2-1.4T
41%>$1.6T
20%$1.4-1.6T
17%$1.0-1.2T
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above…?
Vol 193 calls·Liq 21 XP·Ends Dec 31 UTC
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above…?
Vol 193 calls·Liq 21 XP·Ends Dec 31 UTC
21%$1.2-1.4T
41%>$1.6T
20%$1.4-1.6T
17%$1.0-1.2T
