2026-06-10 15:03 UTC
Market snapshot
Vol 144 calls·Liq 0 XP·Ends Jun 30 UTC
Answer options
BinaryWhy it matters
An Ipsos survey found 78% of respondents expect global temperatures to keep rising in 2026; whether the year actually tops the instrumental record will be settled when major climate agencies publish annual data.
Resolution criteria
Resolves YES if at least one of NASA GISS, NOAA, Copernicus, or HadCRUT ranks calendar year 2026 as the warmest year in their global surface-temperature record when annual data are published. Otherwise resolves NO.
https://climate.nasa.gov/Timing
expiresAt: 2027-06-30T23:59:59.000Z
votingClosesAt: 2027-06-29T23:59:59.000Z
votingLockMinutesBeforeDue: = 1440 minutes
eventStart: 2027-06-30T00:59:59.000Z
Expires 2027-06-30 23:59 UTC
Metadata
49%
0.0%
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Vol 144 calls·Liq 0 XP·Ends Jun 30 UTC
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Vol 144 calls·Liq 0 XP·Ends Jun 30 UTC
49%
0.0%
