2026-06-10 15:01 UTC
Market snapshot
Vol 165 calls·Liq 0 XP·Ends Jan 1 UTC
Answer options
BinaryWhy it matters
Orbital refueling is a prerequisite for Starship lunar missions and deep-space logistics; a 2026 demo would de-risk NASA's Artemis architecture.
Resolution criteria
Resolves YES if SpaceX successfully transfers propellant between vehicles in Earth orbit by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM US Eastern, as confirmed by SpaceX or credible reporting. Ground-only tests or plans without an orbital transfer resolve NO.
https://www.spacex.com/Timing
expiresAt: 2027-01-01T04:59:59.000Z
votingClosesAt: 2026-12-31T04:59:59.000Z
votingLockMinutesBeforeDue: = 1440 minutes
eventStart: 2026-12-31T05:59:59.000Z
Expires 2027-01-01 04:59 UTC
Metadata
52%
0.0%
Will SpaceX demonstrate orbital refueling by the end of 2026?
Vol 165 calls·Liq 0 XP·Ends Jan 1 UTC
Will SpaceX demonstrate orbital refueling by the end of 2026?
Vol 165 calls·Liq 0 XP·Ends Jan 1 UTC
52%
0.0%
