2026-06-08 02:35 UTC
Market snapshot
Vol 2 calls·Liq 0 XP·Ends Dec 31 UTC
Answer options
BinaryWhy it matters
Tornado activity has significant societal impact, and comparing the severity year-on-year is a critical concern for public safety.
Resolution criteria
The market resolves 'Yes' if the total number of officially confirmed EF4 and EF5 tornadoes in the United States in the calendar year 2026 (January 1 - December 31) exceeds the total number of EF4 and EF5 tornadoes in 2025. Otherwise, 'No'. Source: NOAA's National Weather Service (NWS) Storm Prediction Center (SPC) annual reports or official severe weather databases.
Timing
expiresAt: 2026-12-31T23:59:59Z
votingClosesAt: 2026-12-30T23:59:59.000Z
votingLockMinutesBeforeDue: = 1440 minutes
eventStart: 2026-12-31T00:59:59.000Z
Expires 2026-12-31 23:59 UTC
Metadata
41%
▲ +1.0%
Will the US see more EF4/EF5 tornadoes in 2026 than 2025? (Closes: December 30, 2026, 23:59 UTC)
Vol 2 calls·Liq 0 XP·Ends Dec 31 UTC
Will the US see more EF4/EF5 tornadoes in 2026 than 2025? (Closes: December 30, 2026, 23:59 UTC)
Vol 2 calls·Liq 0 XP·Ends Dec 31 UTC
41%
▲ +1.0%
